After eight profitable days out of 12 and 14% ROI overall in the group phase, James Eastham brings you the smartest selections as the knockout phase gets under way in Egypt… You can prefer the tips free soccer page!
Morocco vs Benin
Friday 5 July, 17:00 BST
Live on Eurosport hai
Based on how these two sides played during the group phase, this encounter in Cairo looks set lớn be a lot closer than the market thinks. Morocco are 1.66 favourites, with Benin 7.40 and The Draw 3.50.
If you look at the final group tables, then Morocco's status as odds-on favourites makes sense: Herve Renard's side topped Group D with a perfect record of nine points from three games, while Benin made it through lớn the knockout phase with a much poorer record of just three points from three soccer tip bet. Benin drew all three of their first-round fixtures to qualify out of Group F as one of the best-third placed teams.
All's not as it seems, however: all three of Morocco's wins came by a 1-0 scoreline, and only one of their three performances was convincing: they were the better team in their big match vs Ivory Coast, but needed a late own goal lớn see off Namibia and a late free-kick winner lớn clinch a win over South Africa.
Morocco deserve lớn be favourites - but their chances of winning in 90 minutes are clearly overrated. Benin have yet lớn lose in this competition, having earned draws against Ghana (2-2) and Cameroon (0-0). The value lies with one of the three following options: laying Morocco in the Match Odds market, backing the game lớn finish in a draw after 90 minutes or supporting Benin with an Asian Handicap start (for a full guide lớn Asian Handicap betting, nhấn here).
The other market lớn consider is Under 1.5 Goals. Five of the six group matches involving these two teams featured no goals or one goal. Morocco are likely lớn enjoy more of the possession and do more of the attacking but their lack of a cutting edge in the final third in open play was obvious throughout their group phase performances. Under 1.5 Goals is an appealing selection at 2.40.
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